Posts by SZurlo

    My 86 year old father, that has longstanding pulmonary and cardiac issues, is on his way to the ER for breathing problems. The hospital currently has a no visitors policy, except for end-of-life and pediatric issues, so I can't even go down there to be with him. Not to mention the fact that last place someone in his condition needs to be right now is a hospital.

    I totally understand the urgency in trying to find a vaccine, treatments, and looking after those that are ill right now. One of the big questions I have is why so many can be carriers, never have symptoms, and never get sick. What do those people possess physiologically that others do not?

    Well, maybe it's like HSV-1 (oral herpes). The CDC estimates that close to 50% of the population carries it (even higher for our age group) , yet only a tiny fraction of those ever have symptoms (cold sores). And, like Covid, you can be asymptomatic and spread it.

    It's kind of a sad commentary on humanity that there are so many people in this country right now that are actually incensed because the number of deaths hasn't risen to the level that they feel justifies the extreme measures being taken to keep it low, rather than rejoicing in the knowledge that maybe the only reason they are that low is BECAUSE of those measures.

    All life is precious however...this is the dollar amount / cost given the stimulus of $8 trillion / 7000 deaths .


    $1,142,857,142


    Or you could look at it like this: 2,000,000,000,000 (what has been spent so far) /327,000,000 (population of the US) = $5,376.34 each to try to keep the rest of us alive and out of poverty.

    2017 stats from the CDC. Wonder where Covid will end up in this list?



    EDIT: I find number 14 rather alarming since I have it and all my Drs have been telling me it's not terminal.....

    Speaking of sounding like BD, what happens if the economy completely shits the bed and we have millions of people trying to find ways to put food on their tables? What effect will this have on crime, like home invasions? Time to buy more ammo? The governor of SC closed a whole new list of stores yesterday including department and sporting goods stores. However, he SPECIFICALLY stated that this didn't apply to firearms retailers. Is he trying to tell us something??

    think the World Health Org. Isn’t in China’s pocket?


    look which country has been omitted from this chart.....I’m thinking conspiracy....but...


    Since East Asia includes China I would assume "Developed east Asia" on the chart includes China.

    I also like the higher mounting point, but with our extreme summer heat I would be very hesitant to do any mod that might disrupt airflow to the radiator

    Yeah, I guess it might have a slight impact, but the sling engine bay is so much more open to the air to begin with than a normal car that I'm not sure it would make a critical amount of difference.

    Yeah, I'm starting to think a light bar is the best plan. I like where you mounted yours. Still lower than the factory lights but away from the road surface.

    another option you might want to check out is the light bar that Doc&Ruby installed in the center of the splitter - here is a link to the post

    Yeah, I saw his recent post where he hit some gravel and bent it back. Might check into something like that. Might try to figure out how to mount it higher.

    But after reading MiM review of his lights. I think I may go that route. They seem to put out more light and in a wider pattern.

    I guess he was talking about these? I'm really looking for a bulb replacement if possible. Don't really want to have to rig up an entirely different mounting system.

    So, the other night I'm out after dark in the sling. The traffic is light but there is oncoming traffic, so I have to keep my low beams on. Suddenly, I notice blood on the road in front of me. Before I even had time to think about a lane change, a dead dog appeared on the road right in front of me. It went right down the center of the sling. Made a horrible noise as it crashed around under the sling and bounced the rear tire off the road. Immediately pulled over at a gas station assuming there would be damage to the splitter. Miraculously, there was none. Spent the next morning hosing gore off the bottom of the frame. The stock headlight bulbs suck. I've read a ton of posts here about aftermarket LEDs but inevitably somebody seems to have complaints about just about every brand I've seen mentioned. Can anyone recommend some LEDs that haven't either had a high failure rate or didn't require extensive modifications to the factory housings to make them work?

    Right. The same as with the flu. Total deaths is fairly easy to establish. Total infections is next to impossible. I've had the flue maybe 5 times (or at least I had all the symptoms) in my life. Actually went to the dr and got diagnosed once. I'm sure the mortality rate for both the flu and Covid are probably much lower than the statics show. The question here is, is covid more dangerous than the flue as a result of having a higher mortality rate, and the data would seem to say "yes", even if we assume total infections for almost any communicable disease is really unknowable.


    EDIT: Of course, all that really matters in the end is the deaths. If the number of deaths from covid exceeds the number of deaths from the flue, then the number of infections is pretty much irrelevant for determining which is a bigger threat.

    Just throwing out quick & dirty mortality numbers isn't really helpful or accurate. Models are just models after all... and many of them have biases and inaccuracies - even worse, some have political agendas (this IS an election year on top of everything else.)

    That 5% didn't come from a model. It's simply the number of deaths reported by their tracker divided by the number of cases. It's entirely possible that the data being reported is incorrect, but that is the math based on the current data.

    Here’s a sobering thought. Based on the numbers from the tracker at Johns Hopkins, the average global mortality rate is about 5% (47,522/941,949). Based on the numbers from the CDC for this year, the mortality rate for the flu is less than one tenth of one percent or about .06% (24,000/38,000,000). So, if we had as many COVID cases in the US as we have flu cases, we could expect around 1,900,000 deaths (.05 * 38,000,000). Just to satisfy my own curiosity, I dumped the raw source data from the Johns Hopkins site (as of April 1) into a spread sheet and added a calculated column for mortality rate (deaths/cases). You can see it here. You can sort by any column.